Institut | Methode | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Linke | AfD | Sonst. | MAF | Rang | MAPF | Rang | MQF | Rang | MFIP95 | Rang | RS | Gesamtrang |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FGW | U | 17.00 | 22.00 | 19.00 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 0.64 | 1 | 5.08 | 1 | 0.55 | 1 | 0.000 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Prognosys-Master-Vote | EP | 16.00 | 23.30 | 18.00 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 9.70 | 12.50 | 1.13 | 2 | 8.39 | 3 | 1.79 | 2 | 0.000 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 2 |
Prognosys/PESM | WB | 15.81 | 23.40 | 17.93 | 7.44 | 13.10 | 9.57 | 12.75 | 1.18 | 5 | 8.49 | 4 | 1.90 | 3 | 0.000 | 2.5 | 14.5 | 3 |
Wahlfieber | WB | 15.69 | 23.55 | 17.97 | 7.14 | 13.27 | 9.60 | 12.78 | 1.16 | 3 | 8.01 | 2 | 2.02 | 4 | 0.143 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 4 |
dawum | EP | 15.90 | 23.60 | 17.40 | 7.70 | 13.30 | 9.60 | 12.50 | 1.25 | 6 | 9.04 | 5 | 2.13 | 6 | 0.000 | 2.5 | 19.5 | 5 |
Wahlfieberteam | EP | 16.00 | 23.25 | 17.50 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 10.00 | 12.75 | 1.28 | 7 | 9.56 | 8 | 2.10 | 5 | 0.143 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 6 |
Forsa | U | 17.00 | 21.00 | 21.00 | 7.00 | 14.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | 1.18 | 4 | 9.45 | 6 | 2.26 | 7 | 0.286 | 9.5 | 26.5 | 7 |
infratest | U | 16.00 | 24.00 | 18.00 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 1.31 | 8 | 9.45 | 7 | 2.41 | 8 | 0.143 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 8 |
Civey | U | 16.00 | 24.00 | 18.00 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 1.42 | 9 | 10.41 | 9 | 2.78 | 9 | 0.286 | 9.5 | 36.5 | 9 |
INSA | U | 15.00 | 23.00 | 17.00 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 11.00 | 12.00 | 1.55 | 10 | 12.50 | 11 | 3.60 | 11 | 0.286 | 9.5 | 41.5 | 10 |
Birnstingl | EP | 16.50 | 24.00 | 17.50 | 8.50 | 11.50 | 10.00 | 12.00 | 1.69 | 11 | 13.35 | 12 | 3.34 | 10 | 0.286 | 9.5 | 42.5 | 11 |
Wahlkreisprognose | U | 15.50 | 25.00 | 15.00 | 7.50 | 14.50 | 10.00 | 12.50 | 1.83 | 12 | 12.11 | 10 | 5.51 | 12 | 0.571 | 13.0 | 47.0 | 12 |
Prognos | EP | 14.00 | 24.00 | 15.50 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 10.50 | 13.50 | 2.12 | 13 | 14.80 | 13 | 6.10 | 13 | 0.429 | 12.0 | 51.0 | 13 |
Wahlergebnis | 18.04 | 21.43 | 18.88 | 7.15 | 14.05 | 8.00 | 12.45 |
Anzahl | MAF | Rang | MAPF | Rang | MQF | Rang | MFIP95 | Rang | Top3 | Flop3 | Diff/TN | Rang | MR | Rang | RS | Gesamtrang | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Methodenvergleich | WB | 2 | 1.17 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 1.96 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.5 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
über die Mittelwerte | U | 6 | 1.32 | 2 | 9.83 | 2 | 2.85 | 2 | 0.26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 2 | 7.83 | 3 | 14 | 2 |
der jeweiligen Kenngrößen | EP | 5 | 1.49 | 3 | 11.03 | 3 | 3.09 | 3 | 0.17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -0.2 | 3 | 7.4 | 2 | 16 | 3 |